As of this afternoon (Wednesday, July 27th, 2011), Tropical Storm Don has formed across the Western Caribbean with winds of 40 mph. Don continues to look very impressive based off of satellite images and honestly I would not be surprised if winds are currently stronger than 40 mph. The intensity guidance off of most of our forecast models keeps Don a tropical storm/weak hurricane until landfall and with wind some shear present, conditions are not overly favorable for intensification. That being said, with the impressive organization Don has already shown and with warm Sea Surface Temperatures present, Don could strengthen more than currently forecast.
The majority of our forecast models/guidance take Don to the Northwest, making landfall somewhere along the Texas coast.
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